Urbanised Roundtable 24 July 2020
Urbanised is set to start up its Roundtable series again with Chifley Securities. Places are strictly limited and subject to availability. Please email to express your interest.
Economic Impact Assessment Taking Off
Urbanised has piloted a new stream of economic impact assessment. This product has had an overwhelming response with clients from the agriculture sector, local councils and the property industry. We have specialist training in national accounting and input output modelling which provides you with accurate estimates of the broader benefits of your development. Contact us if you would like more information.
We Are Seeking Candidates for our Associate Partner Program
As the business has grown we are looking for the right people to become part of our business. We are seeking leads for our business development, economics and advisory businesses. If you think you have the ability to be part of the growth of the business email us your resume.
Almost 2 months ago the property industry was abuzz with talk of the removal of stamp duty on property transactions. The NSW Treasurer announced he was seriously contemplating such a move and was being advised by a high-powered advisory board. At the time no one asked the obvious question – when has any Government voluntarily given up such a significant revenue contributor … without replacing it with another way to collect the same amount (if not more) revenue or relying on bracket creep? I cannot recall one time in the last 30 years.
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Good things can come out of challenging times. The past few months have been traumatic for many businesses and individuals. The amazing thing is how Governments, businesses and individuals have responded to the challenges. While not perfect we are navigating uncharted waters and the efforts of all involved have been indefatigable.
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When a business I owned was under severe financial pressure during the GFC, the best response was communicating with creditors, employees and other stakeholders. That approach provided a level of comfort and certainty to suppliers, employees and customers.
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DON’T PANIC. Those words taken from the Douglas Adams’ book Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy were referred to as the most sagely words for humanity by Arthur C. Clarke. Maybe it’s time for all of us to reacquaint ourselves with (or read) this book.
Over the past week I have seen the best and worst responses to the situation we find ourselves in.
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During this week we were reviewing some feedback on new roads in Leppington as part of a development application. When reading the public submissions, we noticed that comments were being received from the “community” in Devenport, Balmain and Mosman (amongst other places such as the Grampians) against the same specific road change. One Leppington local was on the record as opposing the change.
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Urbanised was present when the NSW Minister for Planning and Open Spaces gave a speech at UDIA NSW February Luncheon. It was a dialectical analysis of planners and economists. To the casual observer they would have left that lunch in a state of disorientation. But there is clearly something going on between the planners and economists in Government – between the Department of Planning and the Treasury.
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We have tried not to focus this edition on corona virus. But right at the beginning of the outbreak, I was talking to a major developer and they advised that building had to stop because there were issues with getting the steel from China. The development sector has become particularly reliant on just in time manufacturing of all sorts of products from China. We can only speculate that it has got worse than it was a month ago.
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The Government have have advised that assessment times for development applications have officially halved. You might think that this is great news – but there is a conga line of sceptics. Urbanised is going to join that line.
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The Department of Planning may have released its new forecasts, but we have conducted a desktop audit of development application pipelines in Cordells. The results are similar to the Department’s.
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The NSW planning system is complex. Complexity reduces productivity and probability of projects ever being delivered. This submission to the NSW Productivity Commission uses economic and policy frameworks to identify solutions to improve the system and promote productivity.
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Non Bank Lending is expected to grow again in 2019 off the back of low interest rates and the increased availability of capital. The other trend is that loan defaults by developers are at all-time lows even though the market is down.
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